Oregon
W-L: (42-13) PR = 96.5008Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 3- 0 206 A Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 5- 6 207 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 10- 2 207 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 2 208 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 2- 4 213 H Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 7- 3 214 H Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 5- 4 214 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 9- 0 215 H East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 4- 2 219 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 5-10 219 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 2- 1 220 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 3- 7 220 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 1 221 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 11- 8 227 H Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 10- 1 227 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 4- 3 228 H Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 4- 1 228 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 8- 0 301 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 18- 2 301 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 18- 2 304 A Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 11- 3 306 H Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 8- 3 306 H Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 7- 6 307 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 5- 8 307 H Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 2- 1 308 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 7- 3 313 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 8- 2 314 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 10- 1 315 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 6- 5 320 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 6- 0 321 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 4- 7 322 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 2- 1 323 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 24-12 326 H Morgan State 3-17 327 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 4- 2 328 H UT Arlington WAC (25-22, 91.1) 7- 7 403 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 10- 1 404 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 14-13 405 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 6- 2 410 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 11- 0 411 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 4- 3 412 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 8- 2 417 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 8- 4 418 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 5- 4 420 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 6- 1 422 H Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 7- 2 424 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 0- 3 425 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 13- 6 426 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 8- 5 501 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 8- 2 502 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 13-11 503 A UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 3-11 507 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 9-11 515 H Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 5- 1 516 A Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 4- 5 516 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Missouri 3- 0 3 1 1.74
206 A Clemson 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.84
207 A Liberty 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.61
207 H Tennessee 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.33
208 H SE Louisiana 2- 4 -2 4 -- -5.58
213 H Cal State Fullerton 7- 3 4 2 1.58
214 H Cal State Fullerton 5- 4 1 2 -1.42
214 A Kentucky 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.97
215 H East Texas A&M 4- 2 2 11 --- -9.36
219 H Auburn 5-10 -5 2 --- -7.49
219 H Texas A&M 2- 1 1 0 0.54
220 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.94
220 A South Carolina 2- 1 1 1 0.21
221 A Duke 11- 8 3 -1 + 3.85
227 H Stetson 10- 1 9 6 + 3.26
227 H Idaho State 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.91
228 H Stetson 4- 1 3 6 - -2.74
228 H Samford 8- 0 8 7 1.14
301 H Samford 18- 2 16 7 +++ 7.14
301 H Samford 18- 2 16 7 +++ 7.14
304 A Oregon State 11- 3 8 5 + 2.85
306 H Oregon State 8- 3 5 7 -1.63
306 H Sacramento State 7- 6 1 6 -- -5.42
307 H Nevada 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.80
307 H Sacramento State 2- 1 1 6 -- -5.42
308 H Nevada 7- 3 4 2 + 2.20
313 H Penn State 8- 2 6 2 + 3.72
314 H Penn State 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.72
315 H Penn State 6- 5 1 2 -1.28
320 A Purdue 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.69
321 A Purdue 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.31
322 A Purdue 2- 1 1 1 -0.31
323 A Indiana 24-12 12 0 +++ 12.48
327 H Kentucky 4- 2 2 4 -1.51
328 H UT Arlington 7- 7 0 6 --- -6.10
403 H Iowa 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.72
404 H Iowa 14-13 1 4 - -3.28
405 H Iowa 6- 2 4 4 -0.28
410 A Maryland 11- 0 11 6 ++ 5.50
411 A Maryland 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.50
412 A Maryland 8- 2 6 6 0.50
417 H Washington 8- 4 4 0 + 3.50
418 H Washington 5- 4 1 0 0.50
420 H Washington 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.50
422 H Oregon State 7- 2 5 7 -1.63
424 H Ohio State 0- 3 -3 3 --- -6.39
425 H Ohio State 13- 6 7 3 + 3.61
426 A Boise State 8- 5 3 3 -0.33
501 A UCLA 8- 2 6 -4 +++ 9.79
502 A UCLA 13-11 2 -4 ++ 5.79
503 A UCLA 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.21
507 H Wisconsin 9-11 -2 3 -- -5.42
515 H Idaho State 5- 1 4 6 -1.91
516 A Saint Mary's 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.16
516 H Mississippi State 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.72
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H East Texas A&M 4- 2 2 11 --- -9.36 219 H Auburn 5-10 -5 2 --- -7.49 328 H UT Arlington 7- 7 0 6 --- -6.10 424 H Ohio State 0- 3 -3 3 --- -6.39 208 H SE Louisiana 2- 4 -2 4 -- -5.58 220 A Cal State Fullerton 3- 7 -4 1 -- -4.94 227 H Idaho State 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.91 306 H Sacramento State 7- 6 1 6 -- -5.42 307 H Nevada 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.80 307 H Sacramento State 2- 1 1 6 -- -5.42 321 A Purdue 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.31 411 A Maryland 4- 3 1 6 -- -4.50 503 A UCLA 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.21 507 H Wisconsin 9-11 -2 3 -- -5.42 516 A Saint Mary's 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.16 516 H Mississippi State 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.72 206 A Clemson 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.84 207 H Tennessee 0- 2 -2 0 - -2.33 228 H Stetson 4- 1 3 6 - -2.74 404 H Iowa 14-13 1 4 - -3.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Kentucky 9- 0 9 2 +++ 6.97 301 H Samford 18- 2 16 7 +++ 7.14 301 H Samford 18- 2 16 7 +++ 7.14 314 H Penn State 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.72 323 A Indiana 24-12 12 0 +++ 12.48 501 A UCLA 8- 2 6 -4 +++ 9.79 207 A Liberty 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.61 320 A Purdue 6- 0 6 1 ++ 4.69 403 H Iowa 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.72 410 A Maryland 11- 0 11 6 ++ 5.50 420 H Washington 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.50 502 A UCLA 13-11 2 -4 ++ 5.79 221 A Duke 11- 8 3 -1 + 3.85 227 H Stetson 10- 1 9 6 + 3.26 304 A Oregon State 11- 3 8 5 + 2.85 308 H Nevada 7- 3 4 2 + 2.20 313 H Penn State 8- 2 6 2 + 3.72 417 H Washington 8- 4 4 0 + 3.50 425 H Ohio State 13- 6 7 3 + 3.61 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 3- 0 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.46 13.48
3 A Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 5- 6 -5.99 13.38 0.74 0.46 -1.20
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 10- 2 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.46 11.53
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0- 2 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.46 -0.85
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 2- 4 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.46 -1.60
3 H Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 7- 3 -5.08 14.29 -0.74 0.46 12.42
3 H Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 5- 4 -5.08 14.29 -0.74 0.46 12.42
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 9- 0 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.46 12.78
3 H East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 4- 2 -14.02 5.35 -0.74 0.46 4.23
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 5-10 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.46 -1.35
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 2- 1 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.46 14.22
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 3- 7 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.46 -0.99
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2- 1 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.46 13.91
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 11- 8 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.46 15.42
3 H Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 10- 1 -8.40 10.97 -0.74 0.46 9.38
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 4- 3 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.46 9.22
3 H Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 4- 1 -8.40 10.97 -0.74 0.46 9.38
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 8- 0 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.46 8.35
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 18- 2 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.46 8.35
3 H Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 18- 2 -9.52 9.85 -0.74 0.46 8.35
3 A Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 11- 3 -9.29 10.08 0.74 0.46 9.92
3 H Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 8- 3 -9.29 10.08 -0.74 0.46 8.56
3 H Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 7- 6 -9.08 10.29 -0.74 0.46 8.75
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 5- 8 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.46 -1.19
3 H Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 2- 1 -9.08 10.29 -0.74 0.46 8.75
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 7- 3 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.46 12.99
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 8- 2 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.46 12.55
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 10- 1 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.46 12.55
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 6- 5 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.46 12.55
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 6- 0 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.46 13.44
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 4- 7 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.46 -1.08
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 2- 1 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.46 13.44
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 24-12 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.46 15.07
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 4- 2 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.46 11.42
3 H UT Arlington (25-22, 91.1) 7- 7 -8.75 10.62 -0.74 0.46 0.00
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 10- 1 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.46 10.71
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 14-13 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.46 10.71
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 6- 2 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.46 10.71
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 11- 0 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 9.59
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 4- 3 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 9.59
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 8- 2 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 9.59
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 8- 4 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.46 14.18
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 5- 4 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.46 14.18
3 H Washington (36-18, 96.7) 6- 1 -3.16 16.21 -0.74 0.46 14.18
3 H Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 7- 2 -9.29 10.08 -0.74 0.46 8.56
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 0- 3 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.46 -1.56
3 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 13- 6 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.46 11.53
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 8- 5 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.46 11.59
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 8- 2 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.46 18.11
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 13-11 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.46 18.11
3 A UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 3-11 -0.35 19.02 0.74 0.46 -0.09
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 9-11 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.46 -1.56
3 H Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 5- 1 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.46 9.22
3 A Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 4- 5 -7.30 12.07 0.74 0.46 -1.50
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 4 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.46 -0.94
------
470.04
|
winning pts = 483.9631 losing points = -13.9182
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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